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IEA Greenhouse Gas R&D Programme

67 JG imageThe World Bank recently published its latest report in the series; Turn Down the Heat: Confronting the New Climate Normal which makes for grim reading.
This latest report focuses on the risks of climate change to development in Latin America and the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa, and parts of Europe and Central Asia. It looks at the likely impacts of present day (0.8°C), 2°C and 4°C warming above pre-industrial temperatures on agricultural production, water resources, ecosystem services, and coastal vulnerability for affected populations.

Some of the stark conclusions from this report are:

The one piece of good news many of the worst projected climate impacts could still be avoided by holding warming to below 2°C.
The report coming as it does after COP21 is an important reminder of this need for early action on climate change and justifies the Paris Agreement outcome to go below 20C.

To me it is very disappointing, but not unsurprising, to find that we are already locked in to warming close to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by mid-century and climate change impacts such as extreme heat events such as those reported recently by NOAA recently may now be the norm and if we continue to emit greenhouse gases at our current rates even more extreme events can be expected.